Help - Search - Members - Calendar
Full Version: Professor Tracks Bigfoot
Bigfoot Forums > Bigfoot/Sasquatch Discussion > Media > News & Magazine Articles
Pages: 1, 2, 3, 4
tugboatwa
QUOTE(Drew @ Nov 28 2006, 10:21 AM) *
http://www.columbian.com/opinion/news/11082006news74660.cfm Here is a nasty little opinion piece about Meldrum. I didn't see it in here
That is because it was included in a seperate thread - Media reaction to Meldrum article - http://www.bigfootforums.com/index.php?showtopic=16650
LAL
Have we had this one yet? Chris Murphy provded the link in his latest newsletter.

http://www.thetartan.com/vnews/display.v/A...8/4552392232842
RogerKni
QUOTE(RayG @ Nov 11 2006, 01:02 PM) *
You're making it sound like anyone, qualified or not, is going to have an impact on whether an article is accepted or rejected. I've read that paragraph a few times now and I still don't see where they're saying that, or that they've abandoned the peer-review process.

:surrender: I meant to post a concession on this matter a day before your post, to save you writing a rebuttal, but I didn't get around to it. (I even anticipated your observation that greater participation in peer review might actually make the process MORE stringent.) I was wrong in what I said--that a loosening of the peer review process had occurred.

What I should have said was that:

1. Some loosening of the peer review process, in the sense of making it more transparent (reviewers' comments viable by the public) and more participatory (public peer review-ish comments enabled prior to publication), has already occurred on a trial basis, and may become permanent, depending on the outcome of Nature's trial.

2. Some lessening of the implicit power of editors and peer reviewers to keep rejected papers invisible to other scientists has occurred on a trial basis, because submitted papers are now viewable online, and may also become permanent, depending on the trial's outcome.

3. SasSkeptic's comment implied, or seemed to imply, that NO change had occurred, or would occur (i.e., was being contemplated), beyond posting back issues online. As to the first, he was wrong, if Nature's trial can be considered a change. (Arguable, since it's tentative.) As to the second, it would be a change if the loosening and lessening I mentioned above occurred, even though this wouldn't impact the core of peer review.

I think it's hard to be sure how far the online-ization of journal publishing would go. What SasSkeptic's eight journals are doing may be as step onto a slippery slope. I.e., they may move, five years from now, in the direction Nature is going and:

A. Vastly expand their "letters" section.

B. Post articles-submitted-for-publication.

C. Allow their subscribers to comment on such submitted articles.

D. In time, this commentary might become somehow "given a voice," even if only informally, in deciding what to publish and what changes authors should be asked to make.

This wouldn't lead to the "publication" of more Bigfoot papers, although it might if a lot of favorable comments were received on submitted inconclusive Bigfoot papers and the editors thus lost their fear of a strong negative reader reaction. The main thing is that speculative, far-out science would at last have "a place at the table," even though below the salt. That's good enough for me.
RogerKni
QUOTE(Saskeptic @ Nov 10 2006, 07:23 AM) *
Note to self: apparently the word "many" is 80% of the way to "rampant."

You didn't just say "many," you said "so many." The use of the intensifier "so" moves you a long way toward "rampant"--although I'll concede my 80% was an over-estimate. But it gets you halfway there.
=================

QUOTE(Saskeptic @ Nov 10 2006, 07:23 AM) *
Roger, surely you understand that when I use a term like "rules out" in the context of peer reviewed scientific publications, I mean in a statistical, probabilistic sense. I don't expect Jeff Meldrum to "rule out", 100%, without a shadow of a doubt that a print he's presenting for analysis could not have been hoaxed. I do expect him, however, to somehow demonstrate that his print is very unlikely to have been hoaxed (or for that matter, from a bear or a human). That generally acceptable threshold is 5% (although there's plenty of disagreement among scientists about this too). So we often report results with a critical decision rule of P < 0.05, i.e., we're confident that if we did the same analysis 100 times, at least 95 of those trials would return the same result.

Because there are known cases of alleged sasquatch prints having been hoaxed (weasely enough for you?), I would personally like to see an even tighter standard applied to alleged footprint evidence, say, P < 0.025. I see the stakes of making an error, i.e., being duped by a hoaxer, as the bigger issue. You seem to see the bigger issue as the failure of "science" to recognize the value in exploratory work and discovery, which could have huge implications for humankind. So you might want to set that decision rule at P < 0.20.

OK, so we disagree. Now what?

Absolutely :wink: not! If there's a 20% chance this phenomenon is real, Attention Must Be Paid. This P < .05 stuff is fine when the contention of the article's author is that he has proved something. A lower standard is justified when the author's contention is only that he MAY have a Big Truth by the tail. (Unfortunately most believers aren't wise enough to soft-pedal their claims in this manner.) My compromise offer is that papers of this sort be prefaced by a warning statement that the "bar has been lowered" because the author is only proposing a hypothesis. (There could be other typographic indicators of speculativeness too.)

================
QUOTE(Saskeptic @ Nov 10 2006, 07:23 AM) *
QUOTE(RogerKni @ Nov 9 2006, 11:35 PM) *

For instance, by citing Fahrenbach’s analysis of the variance in the foot-width to foot-length ratio in hundreds of prints failed to find the “spikes” in the data that should be there if many independent hoaxers were at work.

By the way, I find this oft-touted premise of Fahrenbach's to be flawed. I would absolutely expect a normal distribution to footprint dimensions if they were left by multiple, independent hoaxers.

Fahrenbach doesn't always explicate his statements adequately. (Peer review needed! :laugh: ) What he's assuming, I think, is that hoaxers would not carve more than own size of stomper. (And those who did carve more than one would often carve them identically. Mullens probably made all of his to one pattern, for instance.) This would produce the spikes Fahrenbach described.

Wallace's family has so far shown only one pair of stompers, although I believe they say they have more. (The key to the shed was missing supposedly when a TV crew showed up to film them.) Even if he has more than one pair, it could be that they are the same, or very similar.
This is a "lo-fi" version of our main content. To view the full version with more information, formatting and images, please click here.
Invision Power Board © 2001-2010 Invision Power Services, Inc.